Return of the BIG "W" by MSTCM Frank Prekel
The Third Class EPQ, 4.B.03 -- Analyze current(s),
tides, and projected weather informatoin -- is within the
Response Section. The intent of the qual is to bring basic
weather knowledge back to the MST rading so that it can
be better applied and anticipated during a "incident
response," whether the incident be oil, chemical, or
a WMD event.
MSTCM Frank Prekel
August 30, 2007
|
Note from the webmaster -- Give credit
where credit is due, without reinventing the wheel, there are a
few outstanding online learning guides. My ambitions here are solely
to provide you with necessary training tool spread all over the
internet.
| This page provides atypical meteorology instruction.
Normally this type of scientific instruction begins with a “parcel
of air” and the processes this parcel will go through,
such as temperature, moisture, pressure, and motion. However,
with you as my audience in consideration, I’ll begin in
reverse order, “beginning with the end in mind.”
Concentrating first with providing you with what you will
need to give an informative, yet concise weather brief to
YOUR audience. |
Basic
Module (on this page) |
|
|
How to read 'surface' weather
maps
• Symbols
- Surface Station Model
- Upper Air Station Model
- Map Symbols
• Air Pressure and Wind
- High
- Low
• Fronts and Air Masses
- Stationary
- Warm
- Cold
•Weather associated with each
- Temperature difference
- Dew Point difference
|
What is Weather?
Fundementals
• Atmospheric Composition
• Atmospheric (Thermal) Structure
• Heating Earth's Surface and Atmosphere
• Global Circulation
• Plus much more!
|
What 'causes' the weather?
Meteorology Concepts
• Dynamics (Atmospheric Motion)
• Thermodynamics (Temperature & Moisture)
• Using Skew-T P-Log
|
Basic
How to read ‘surface’ weather maps
Objective: Given a ‘surface’ weather
map (a.k.a. surface chart), DETERMINE the weather
conditions associated with the frontal boundary(ies) depicted, as
well as be able to explain surface chart symbols / terminology associated
with this chart.
ABOUT THE SURFACE
CHART
If forecasting has to be performed from just one chart, many forecasters
would choose the surface chart. It has a wealth of observations
and it is the weather experienced by humans since it is at the surface.
Unlike the upper air charts that only come out twice per day, the
surface chart can be updated as much as multi-hourly, hourly or
in three-hour increments.
Understanding pressure contour lines (isobars) is the key to interpreting
the chart. Without understanding isobars; temperature advection,
wind speed/direction and pressure distribution the surface chart
can not be comprehended. Upper air charts
are at a fixed pressure level (or rather called heights); temperature,
dewpoints and wind are reported from that pressure level. This is
not true for the surface chart with the exception of pressure. Temperature,
dewpoint and wind information are gathered from observation stations
just a few feet above the surface for all elevations. Pressure,
however, is normalized so pressures at high elevation stations can
be measured against pressures at low elevation stations. All stations,
no matter the elevation, are given the station pressure the site
would have if it were at sea level. In a place such as New Orleans,
the surface pressure will be very close to the station pressure.
But in a city like Denver, the station pressure may be 150 millibars
less than surface pressure. Once each location has a sea level pressure,
they can be compared to each other to determine where relative low
and high pressures are distributed across the map.
Another huge difference between surface and upper air charts is
the marking of fronts. They are marked on surface charts but not
on upper air charts. Temperature advection and height contour kinking
must be used to infer upper air fronts. With a large number of reporting
stations at the surface, a fairly accurate position of fronts is
possible. With far less reporting stations on upper level charts
it is more difficult to obtain exact frontal position. Besides,
there are only two upper air charts per day.
Fronts do not pass a reporting station at all levels in the atmosphere
at the same time. The upper level front can pass BEFORE or AFTER
the surface front. If the upper level winds are strong, the upper
level front may advect out ahead of the surface front. Friction
is strongest at the surface, which can impede surface front movement.
In the case of a shallow polar front, the surface front will pass
before the upper level front (i.e. 850 mb front).
www.theweatherprediction.com
Surface
Station Model
Temp (F)
Weather
Dewpoint (F) |
 |
Pressure (mb)
Sky Cover
Wind (kts) |
Data at Surface Station
Temp 45 °F, dewpoint 29 °F,
overcast, wind from SE at 15 knots,
weather light rain, pressure 1004.5 mb |
Upper
Air Station Model
Temp (C)
Dewpoint (C) |
 |
Height (m)
Wind (kts) |
Data at Pressure Level - 850 mb
Temp -5 °C, dewpoint -12 °C,
wind from S at 75 knots,
height of level 1564 m |
| Note:
Regarding weather charts; there are 6 standard charts, beginning
at the surface and extending vertically into the atmosphere.
They include |
Pressure |
Approximate Height |
Approximate Temperature |
Sea Level 1000mb
850
mb 700
mb 500
mb 300
mb
200 mb
100 mb |
0 m
100 m
1500 m
3000 m
5000 m
9000 m
12000 m
16000 m
|
0 ft
300 ft
5000 ft
10000 ft
18000 ft
30000 ft
40000 ft
53000 ft |
15 C
15 C
05 C
-05 C
-20 C
-45 C
-55 C
-56 C
|
59 F
59 F
41 F
23 F
-04 F
-49 F
-67 F
-69F |
Forecast Station Model
Temp (F)
Weather
Dewpoint (F) |
 |
PoP (%)
Sky Cover
Wind (kts) |
Forecast at Valid Time
Temp 78 °F, dewpoint 64 °F,
scattered clouds, wind from E at 10 knots,
probability of precipitation 70% with rain showers |
Map Symbols
Surface
level winds
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/
By The National Center for Atmospheric Research
(NCAR)
Operated by the University Cooporation for Atmospheric
Research
RAP Real Time Weather Data
|
|
Air
Pressure and Wind
A barometer measures the air pressure. The air pressure is a function
of how much air is pressing over an area. Air pressure will change
rapidly with a change in altitude. Because of this rapid change
with altitude, reported pressure is usually adjusted to sea level.
Once all locations are adjusted to sea level then the air pressure
can be compared between two places that even have different altitudes.
Maps that show pressure adjusted to sea level are called isobaric
maps. The isobars connect points of equal pressure. Where the isobars
are close together the wind is stronger.
The English units of air pressure are inches of mercury. The metric
version is millibars. The average sea level pressure is 29.92 inches
of mercury and 1013 millibars. Using these average values it can
be determined whether the pressure is above, significantly above,
below or significantly below the average value.
English
unit |
Metric |
29.92 inches of mercury |
1013.25 Millibars |
A few sea level pressure benchmark values follow:
1086 mb (32.08 inches of mercury): Highest Ever Recorded
1030 mb (30.42 inches of mercury): Strong High Pressure System
1013 mb (29.92 inches of mercury): Average Sea Level Pressure
1000 mb (29.54 inches of mercury): Typical Low Pressure System
980 mb (28.95 inches of mercury): CAT 1 Hurricane or a very intense
mid-latitude cyclone
950 mb (28.06 inches of mercury): CAT 3 Hurricane
870 mb (25.70 inches of mercury): Lowest Ever Recorded (not including
tornadoes)
High
Pressure Centers
also known as anticyclones
A high pressure center is where the pressure has
been measured to be the highest relative to its surroundings. That
means, moving in any direction away from the "High" will
result in a decrease in pressure. A high pressure center also represents
the center of an anticyclone and is indicated on a weather map by
a blue "H".
Winds flow clockwise around a high pressure center in the northern
hemisphere, while in the southern hemisphere, winds flow counterclockwise
around a high.
Sinking air in the vicinity of a high pressure center suppresses
the upward motions needed to support the development of clouds and
precipitation. This is why fair weather is commonly associated with
an area of high pressure.
Low
Pressure Centers
also known as cyclones
A low pressure center is where the pressure has been
measured to be the lowest relative to its surroundings. That means,
moving in any horizontal direction away from the "Low"
will result in an increase in pressure. Low pressure centers also
represent the centers of cyclones.
A low pressure center is indicated on a weather map
by a red "L" and winds flow counterclockwise around a
low in the northern hemisphere. The opposite is true in the southern
hemisphere, where winds flow clockwise around an area of low pressure.
Rising motion in the vicinity of a low pressure center favors the
development of clouds and precipitation, which is why cloudy weather
(and likely precipitation) are commonly associated with an area
of low pressure.
The below picture gives a visual dipictions of this "High"
and "Low" pressure relationship. Remember the saying,
"What goes up must come down?" That's exactly the process
of weather.
Back to Top
Fronts
and Air Masses
Fronts
A front is defined as the transition zone between two air masses
of different density. Fronts extend not only in the horizontal direction,
but in the vertical as well. Therefore, when referring to the frontal
surface (or frontal zone), we referring to both the horizontal and
vertical components of the front.
 |
Stationary
Front
When a warm or cold front stops moving, it becomes a stationary
front. Once this boundary resumes its forward motion, it once
again becomes a warm front or cold front. A stationary front
is represented by alternating blue and red lines with blue
triangles pointing towards the warmer air and red semicircles
pointing towards the colder air. |

|
Warm
Front -- transition zone from cold air to warm
air
A warm front is defined as the transition zone where a warm
air mass is replacing a cold air mass. Warm fronts generally
move from southwest to northeast and the air behind a warm
front is warmer and more moist than the air ahead of it. When
a warm front passes through, the air becomes noticeably warmer
and more humid than it was before.

Symbolically, a warm front is represented by a solid line
with semicircles pointing towards the colder air and in the
direction of movement. On colored weather maps, a warm front
is drawn with a solid red line.

There is typically a noticeable temperature change from one
side of the warm front to the other. In the map of surface
temperatures below, the station north of the front reported
a temperature of 53 degrees Fahrenheit while a short distance
behind the front, the temperature increased to 71 degrees.
An abrupt temperature change over a short distance is a good
indication that a front is located somewhere in between.

If warmer air is replacing colder air, then the front should
be analyzed as a warm front. If colder air is replacing warmer
air, then the front should be analyzed as a cold front. Common
characteristics associated with warm fronts have been listed
in the table below.
|
|
Before Passing |
|
While Passing |
|
After Passing |
| Winds |
|
south-southeast |
|
variable |
|
south-southwest |
| Temperature |
|
cool-cold, slow warming |
|
steady rise |
|
warmer, then steady |
| Pressure |
|
usually falling |
|
leveling off |
|
slight rise, followed by fall |
| Clouds |
|
in this order: Ci, Cs, As, Ns, St, and
fog; occasionally Cb in summer |
|
stratus-type |
|
clearing with scattered Sc; occasionally
Cb in summer |
| Precipitation |
|
light-to-moderate rain, snow, sleet,
or drizzle |
|
drizzle or none |
|
usually none, sometimes light rain or
showers |
| Visibility |
|
poor |
|
poor, but improving |
|
fair in haze |
| Dew Point |
|
steady rise |
|
steady |
|
rise, then steady |
Table adapted from: Ahrens,
(1994)
Back to Top
Finding Warm Fronts
Using Wind Direction
shift from east-southeast to south-southwest
Warm
fronts are not always identifiable by simply examining
the temperature field alone. Other fields must also be taken
into consideration. For example, below is a surface weather
map with an analyzed low pressure center (red "L") and associated
cold
front (blue line) and warm front (red line). The numbers
are surface temperature reports and the symbols are wind barbs,
indicating wind direction and wind speed.
At the time this map was generated, temperatures ahead of
the warm front were in the 40's, while behind the front, temperatures
were only slightly warmer (in the 50's). However, notice the
change in wind direction (as indicated by the wind
barbs) from one side of the warm front to the other. Winds
ahead of the warm front were generally from the east, while
behind the front, winds had shifted around and were blowing
out of the south. This sudden shift in wind direction was
the key indicator that a warm front was present.
A sudden change in wind direction is commonly observed with
the passage of a warm
front. Before the front arrives, winds ahead of the front
(in the cooler air mass) are typically from the east, but
once the front passes through, winds usually shift around
to the south-southwest (in the warmer air mass).
Back to Top
Finding Warm Fronts
Using Dew Points
higher dew point temperatures behind the warm front
Another indication of a possible frontal passage is a change
in the air's relative humidity. The air mass behind a warm
front is typically more moist than the air mass ahead of the
front. The surface map below contains reports of temperature,
dew point temperature, and wind barbs. Higher dew points indicate
a higher moisture content of the air. Ahead of the warm front
analyzed below, dew point temperatures were generally in the
40's, while behind the front, dew point values climbed into
the 50's.
This increase in dew
point temperature indicated that the air behind the warm
front contained more moisture. A noticeable change in
the air's relative
humidity is commonly observed with the passage of a warm
front. Before the front arrives, the air typically feels less
humid than after the warm front passes through.
Back to Top
Cyclones and Associated
Warm Front
leading edge of warmer air mass
Below is a simple model of a cyclone with a cold front extending
to the south from the center of low pressure and a warm front
extending to the east ahead of the storm.
At low levels, several air masses of distinctly different
origin may be found in varying parts of the cyclone. The warm
front marks the leading edge of warm moist air being pulled
northward by southerly winds ahead (east) of the low.
Clouds and precipitation usually develop along and ahead
of the warm front as warm moist air rides up and over the
colder air ahead of it.
Back to Top
Cold
Front - transition zone from warm air
to cold air
A cold front is defined as the transition zone where a cold
air mass is replacing a warmer air mass. Cold fronts generally
move from northwest to southeast. The air behind a cold front
is noticeably colder and drier than the air ahead of it. When
a cold front passes through, temperatures can drop more than
15 degrees within the first hour.
Symbolically, a cold front is represented by
a solid line with triangles along the front pointing towards
the warmer air and in the direction of movement. On colored
weather maps, a cold front is drawn with a solid blue line.
There is typically a noticeable temperature
change from one side of a cold front to the other. In the
map of surface temperatures below, the station east of the
front reported a temperature of 55 degrees Fahrenheit while
a short distance behind the front, the temperature decreased
to 38 degrees. An abrupt temperature change over a short distance
is a good indicator that a front is located somewhere in between.
If colder air is replacing warmer air, then
the front should be analyzed as a cold front. On the other
hand, if warmer air is replacing cold air, then the front
should be analyzed as a warm front. Common characteristics
associated with cold fronts have been listed in the table
below.
| |
|
Before
Passing |
|
While
Passing |
|
After
Passing |
| Winds |
|
south-southwest |
|
gusty; shifting |
|
west-northwest |
| Termperature |
|
Warm |
|
sudden drop |
|
steadily dropping |
| Pressure |
|
falling steadily |
|
minimum, then sharp rise |
|
rising steadily |
| Clouds |
|
increasing: Ci, Cs and Cb |
|
Cb |
|
Cu |
| Precipitation |
|
short period of showers |
|
heavy rains, sometimes with hail,
thunder and lightning |
|
showers then clearing |
| Visibility |
|
fair to poor in haze poor, |
|
poor, followed by improving |
|
good, except in showers |
| Dew Point |
|
high; remains steady |
|
sharp drop |
|
lowering |
Table adapted from: Ahrens,
(1994)
Back to Top
Finding Cold Fronts Using
Wind Direction
shift from south-southwest to west-northwest
Cold fronts are not always identifiable by simply
examining the temperature field alone. Other fields must also
be taken into consideration. For example, below is a surface
weather map with an analyzed low pressure center (red "L")
and associated cold front (blue line) and warm front (red
line). The numbers are surface temperature reports and the
symbols are wind barbs, indicating wind direction and wind
speed.

At the time this map was generated, temperatures
ahead of the cold front were in the 50's, while behind the
front, temperatures were only slightly colder (in the 40's
and 50's). However, notice the change in wind direction
(as indicated by the wind barbs) from one side of the cold
front to the other. Winds ahead of the cold front were generally
from south-southwest, while behind the front, winds had
shifted around and were blowing out of the west. This sudden
shift in wind direction was the key indicator that a cold
front was present.

A sudden change in wind direction is commonly
observed with the passage of a cold front. Before the front
arrives, winds ahead of the front (in the warmer air mass)
are typically out of the south-southwest, but once the front
passes through, winds usually shift around to the west-northwest
(in the colder air mass).
Back to Top
Finding Cold Fronts Using
Dew Points
lower dew point temperatures behind the cold front
Another indication of a possible frontal passage
is a change in the air's relative
humidity. The air mass ahead of a cold front is typically
more moist than the air mass behind it. The surface map
below contains reports of temperature,
dew
point temperature, and wind
barbs. Higher dew points indicate a higher moisture
content of the air. Ahead of the cold front analyzed below,
dew point temperatures were generally in the 50's, while
behind the front, dew point values dropped off into the
30's and 40's.

This decrease in dew point temperature indicated
the presence of drier air behind the cold front. A noticeable
change in the air's relative humidity is commonly observed
with the passage of a cold front. Before the front arrives,
the air typically feels more humid (in the warmer air mass),
but once the front passes through, the humidity decreases
and the air feels drier.
Back to Top
Cyclones and Associated Cold
Front
leading edge of colder air mass
Below is a simple model of a cyclone with
a cold front extending to the south from the center of low
pressure and a warm front extending to the east ahead of
the storm.

At low levels, several air
masses of distinctly different origin may be found in
varying parts of the cyclone. The cold front marks the leading
edge of a colder and drier air mass being wrapped southeastward
by north-northwesterly winds behind the low.

Back to Top
Precipitation
Along a Cold Front
lifting the warm moist air ahead of it
The animation below is a sequence of vertical
cross sections that depict the development of precipitation
ahead of and along a cold front. The surging blue mass represents
colder air behind the cold front (solid blue line) while
the yellow shading indicates the warm moist air mass ahead
of the front.

Animation by: Hall
As the front advances, the colder air lifts
the warmer air ahead of it (red arrows). The air cools as
it rises and the moisture condenses to produce clouds and
precipitation ahead of and along the cold front. In contrast
to lifting along a warm front, upward motions along a cold
front are typically more vigorous, producing deeper clouds
and more intense bands of showers and thunderstorms. However,
these bands are typically quite narrow and move rapidly just
ahead of the cold front.
A Closer Examination of the Animation:
Initially, the cold air mass wedges into the warmer air
mass ahead of it, (separated from each other by the cold
front). The lighter warm air is lifted upwards by the denser
cold air and if enough water vapor condenses, clouds develop.

If condensation of water vapor persists,
precipitation may develop, typically in a narrow band just
ahead of the cold front.

Due to the steep slope of a cold front, vigorous
rising motion is often produced, leading to the development
of showers and occasionally severe thunderstorms.
Back to Top
Frozencoastie by Jeff Estes
Jeff@frozencoastie.com
|
|